CASE STUDY: HISTORICAL OF MAIN LINES AND PERSONNEL
Approaching the trend by mathematical models
Variable 1: main lines (1982=0) Model approaching trend of main lines
Years Years Real LP LP estimate*1000
reference real 1000 total annual
0 1982   2472  
1 1983 2548 2552 80
2 1984 2641 2636 84
3 1985 2729 2723 88
4 1986 2818 2815 92
5 1987 2907 2911 96
6 1988 3001 3011 100
7 1989 3103 3115 104
8 1990 3223 3223 108
9 1991 3344 3335 112
10 1992 3466 3451 116
11 1993 3579 3572 120
12 1994 3681 3696 124
13 1995   3824 128
Variable 2: employees (1982=0) Model approaching trend of personnel
Years lines per Employm Employm estimate
reference employee total total annual
0 1982   18.056  
1 1983 18.071 18.084 28
2 1984 18.089 18.111 27
3 1985 18.193 18.137 26
4 1986 18.181 18.162 26
5 1987 18.169 18.187 25
6 1988 18.188 18.211 24
7 1989 18.253 18.235 23
8 1990 18.209 18.258 23
9 1991 18.273 18.280 22
10 1992 18.339 18.301 21
11 1993 18.354 18.322 21
12 1994 18.313 18.342 20
13 1995   18.361 19